Wasilla leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 72% of adults in Wasilla typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wasilla, ~27% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wasilla compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wasilla leans more Republican than 3 of 15 neighbors.
Wasilla runs about 12 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wasilla. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Wasilla leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Wasilla. None of them point strongly toward either party.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Wasilla, AK sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Wasilla looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Wasilla have completed high school, about 7 points above the Alaska average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tanaina, AK R+32
- Lakes, AK R+31
- Gateway, AK R+30
- Meadow Lakes, AK R+41
- Knik-Fairview, AK R+40
- Palmer, AK R+28
- Buffalo Soapstone, AK R+32
- Chugiak, AK R+5
- Knik, AK R+40
- Lazy Mountain, AK R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Southbridge Town, MA D+5
- Sulphur Springs, TX R+44
- Five Forks, SC R+29
- Tillmans Corner, AL R+37
- Bellefontaine, OH R+40
- Pell City, AL R+66
- Jamestown, NC D+18
- Dumont, NJ Even
- Collingswood, NJ D+47
- Effingham, IL R+47
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.