Chugiak is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 82% of adults in Chugiak typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chugiak, ~40% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chugiak compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chugiak leans more Republican than 3 of 17 neighbors.
Chugiak runs about 9 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Chugiak. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Chugiak leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Chugiak. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Chugiak, AK sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Chugiak looks the way it does
Turnout in Chugiak sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Peters Creek, AK R+10
- Eagle River, AK D+9
- Knik-Fairview, AK R+40
- Knik, AK R+40
- Fort Richardson, AK R+14
- Wasilla, AK R+25
- Meadow Lakes, AK R+41
- Lakes, AK R+31
- Tanaina, AK R+32
- Gateway, AK R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Slinger, WI R+33
- Medford, WI R+39
- Iowa, LA R+46
- Iowa Park, TX R+64
- Freedom, CA D+40
- Tickfaw, LA R+38
- Highland Park, TX R+26
- Paoli, PA D+30
- Des Peres, MO Even
- Alto, MI R+27
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.