Knik-Fairview leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 69% of adults in Knik-Fairview typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Knik-Fairview, ~21% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Knik-Fairview compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Knik-Fairview leans more Republican than 13 of 17 neighbors.
Knik-Fairview runs about 26 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Why Knik-Fairview leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Knik-Fairview, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Knik-Fairview are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Knik-Fairview, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Knik-Fairview looks the way it does
Turnout in Knik-Fairview sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Meadow Lakes, AK R+41
- Knik, AK R+40
- Wasilla, AK R+25
- Tanaina, AK R+32
- Chugiak, AK R+5
- Lakes, AK R+31
- Houston, AK R+45
- Big Lake, AK R+39
- Gateway, AK R+30
- Peters Creek, AK R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Angier, NC R+29
- Benton Harbor, MI D+42
- Belle Glade, FL D+41
- Phelan, CA R+39
- Rockport, TX R+44
- Manchester, MO D+10
- Charles Town, WV R+20
- Ammon, ID R+48
- Andrews, TX R+62
- Maple Shade, NJ D+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.