Lakeshire is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Lakeshire typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lakeshire, ~37% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lakeshire compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lakeshire sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 75 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 95 leaning the other way.
Lakeshire runs about 20 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Lakeshire sits closer to the political middle.
Why Lakeshire leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lakeshire, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lakeshire votes against the grain of Missouri. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Lakeshire runs about 20 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Lakeshire, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lakeshire looks the way it does
Turnout in Lakeshire sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Green Park, MO D+5
- Grantwood Village, MO D+11
- Affton, MO D+11
- St. George, MO D+10
- Marlborough, MO D+20
- Concord, MO R+5
- Wilbur Park, MO D+11
- Crestwood, MO D+19
- Mehlville, MO Even
- Lemay, MO D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cherrylog, GA R+58
- Cerulean, KY R+62
- Creighton, NE R+69
- Raphine, VA R+48
- Arnolds Park, IA R+24
- Zilwaukee, MI R+23
- University Center, MI R+33
- Keene, KY R+36
- Garfield, MN R+39
- Prospect, TN R+68
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.