Laurel Hill leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Laurel Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Laurel Hill, ~59% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Laurel Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Laurel Hill leans more Democratic than 91 of 177 neighbors.
Laurel Hill runs about 34 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Laurel Hill. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+47) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+22), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Laurel Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Laurel Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 63% of adults in Laurel Hill hold a bachelor's degree, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Laurel Hill sits in the top fifth on density (about 75%, above 93% of cities).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Laurel Hill, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Laurel Hill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Laurel Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Laurel Hill have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Newington Forest, VA D+35
- Lorton, VA D+35
- Crosspointe, VA D+22
- Newington, VA D+37
- Occoquan, VA D+24
- Fairfax Station, VA D+20
- West Springfield, VA D+34
- Lake Ridge, VA D+26
- Burke, VA D+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Basehor, KS R+30
- Maylene, AL R+34
- Salem, AL R+57
- Flagler Beach, FL R+37
- Rockwood, VA D+10
- Vandergrift, PA R+29
- Monona, WI D+58
- Skowhegan, ME R+23
- Gray, ME Even
- St. Augustine Shores, FL R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.