Lavallette leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Lavallette typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lavallette, ~32% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lavallette compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lavallette leans more Republican than 66 of 93 neighbors.
Lavallette runs about 36 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Lavallette is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lavallette leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lavallette, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lavallette votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 70%, modestly above the New Jersey average of 61%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Lavallette runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lavallette, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lavallette looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lavallette is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Lavallette have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dover Beaches South, NJ R+37
- Dover Beaches North, NJ R+27
- Seaside Heights, NJ R+8
- Seaside Park, NJ R+29
- Mantoloking, NJ R+24
- Island Heights, NJ R+20
- Ocean Gate, NJ R+27
- Pine Beach, NJ R+22
- Toms River, NJ R+28
- Bayville, NJ R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hunker, PA R+37
- Pine Prairie, LA R+66
- Normalville, PA R+60
- Etna, OH R+24
- Woodmere, OH D+46
- Loretto, KY R+62
- Butler, WI R+3
- Entiat, WA R+35
- Canadian, OK R+67
- Swanton, MD R+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.