Lavon leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Lavon typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lavon, ~22% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lavon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lavon leans more Republican than 29 of 58 neighbors.
Lavon runs about 20 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lavon. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Lavon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lavon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lavon votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 21%, modestly below the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Lavon are family households, above 89% of cities.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lavon, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lavon looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lavon is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nevada, TX R+55
- Copeville, TX R+62
- Wylie, TX R+12
- Fate, TX R+31
- Rockwall, TX R+31
- St. Paul, TX R+23
- Josephine, TX R+54
- Royse City, TX R+46
- Sachse, TX R+11
- Lavon Beach Estates, TX R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Indian Hill, OH R+6
- Gateway, AK R+30
- Gordonsville, VA R+24
- Chester, NH R+10
- Oakland, ME R+22
- Alburtis, PA R+18
- Hopedale, MA D+8
- Riverdale, CA R+34
- Moore Haven, FL R+38
- New Carlisle, IN R+28
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.