New Carlisle leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 79% of adults in New Carlisle typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Carlisle, ~28% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Carlisle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Carlisle leans more Republican than 42 of 77 neighbors.
New Carlisle runs about 10 points more Republican than Indiana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Carlisle. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 15 points.
Why New Carlisle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Carlisle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Carlisle votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 31%, modestly above the Indiana average of 25%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as New Carlisle, IN does.
Why turnout in New Carlisle looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in New Carlisle have completed high school, about 6 points above the Indiana average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake Park, IN R+40
- Rolling Prairie, IN R+40
- Galien, MI R+38
- Mill Creek, IN R+45
- Chain-O-Lakes, IN R+6
- Woodland, IN R+20
- Three Oaks, MI R+26
- Tee Lake, IN R+32
- Salem Heights, IN R+43
- Buchanan, MI R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Moore Haven, FL R+38
- Riverdale, CA R+34
- Olathe, CO R+49
- Oakland, ME R+22
- Adamsville, AL D+31
- Gateway, AK R+30
- Williamson, NY R+25
- Indian Hill, OH R+6
- Lavon, TX R+33
- Holdrege, NE R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.