Lawrenceburg, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lawrenceburg

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lawrenceburg is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.

 

About 65% of adults in Lawrenceburg typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrenceburg, ~12% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lawrenceburg compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrenceburg leans more Republican than 9 of 69 neighbors.

Lawrenceburg runs about 32 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrenceburg. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+55), a spread of about 19 points.

Why Lawrenceburg leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrenceburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Lawrenceburg votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 38%, well above the Tennessee average of 21%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Lawrenceburg, TN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Lawrenceburg looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lawrenceburg is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.