Leaf Valley leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Leaf Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Leaf Valley, ~18% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Leaf Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Leaf Valley leans more Republican than 21 of 34 neighbors.
Leaf Valley runs about 54 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Leaf Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Leaf Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Leaf Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Leaf Valley votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Leaf Valley runs about 54 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Leaf Valley, MN sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Leaf Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Leaf Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Miltona, MN R+49
- Parkers Prairie, MN R+49
- Millerville, MN R+51
- Urbank, MN R+43
- Carlos, MN R+43
- Garfield, MN R+39
- Spruce Center, MN R+53
- Brandon, MN R+47
- Alexandria, MN R+30
- Evansville, MN R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Huffman, TN R+75
- Howland, TX R+77
- Indian Grove, MO R+68
- Hopewell, OR R+32
- Rosenburg, NE R+82
- Zone, OH R+62
- Nashville, OH R+65
- Musselfork, MO R+68
- Petersburg, ND R+42
- Napier, WV R+56
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.