Lebanon leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 82% of adults in Lebanon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lebanon, ~27% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lebanon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lebanon leans more Republican than 89 of 92 neighbors.
Lebanon runs about 41 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Lebanon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lebanon. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Lebanon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lebanon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lebanon votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Lebanon runs about 41 points more Republican. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Lebanon fits that profile on both counts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Lebanon are family households, above 77% of cities.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lebanon, ME sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lebanon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lebanon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 59% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Lebanon own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Lebanon, ME R+32
- North Lebanon, ME R+35
- Milton, NH R+28
- Tatnic, ME R+23
- Rochester, NH R+9
- Emery Mills, ME R+20
- Farmington, NH R+24
- Berwick, ME R+10
- Springvale, ME R+3
- Sanford, ME R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Appomattox, VA R+40
- Montague, MI R+22
- Wautoma, WI R+24
- Estherville, IA R+32
- Falkville, AL R+79
- Carthage, NY R+27
- New Windsor, MD R+30
- Finley, WA R+41
- Bon Aqua, TN R+62
- Steelton, PA D+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.