Lincoln County is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 89% of adults in Lincoln County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln County, ~45% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lincoln County sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 3 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 3 leaning the other way.
Lincoln County runs about 6 points more Republican than Maine as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lincoln County. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Lincoln County leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lincoln County. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lincoln County, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lincoln County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lincoln County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 84% of households in Lincoln County own their home, above 94% of counties. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 95% of adults in Lincoln County have completed high school, above 91% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Sagadahoc County, ME D+8
- Knox County, ME D+7
- Kennebec County, ME R+7
- Androscoggin County, ME R+12
- Waldo County, ME R+7
- Cumberland County, ME D+29
- Somerset County, ME R+29
- Oxford County, ME R+25
- Franklin County, ME R+18
- Hancock County, ME D+5
Counties with Similar Populations
- Becker County, MN R+33
- Lincoln County, TN R+64
- Silver Bow County, MT Even
- Perry County, OH R+56
- Wapello County, IA R+26
- Monroe County, IL R+39
- Morrow County, OH R+58
- Warren County, MO R+50
- Lincoln County, MS R+37
- Madison County, NE R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.