Oxford County leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 80% of adults in Oxford County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oxford County, ~30% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oxford County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Oxford County is the most Republican-leaning.
Oxford County runs about 32 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Oxford County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Oxford County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Oxford County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oxford County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oxford County votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Oxford County runs about 32 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Oxford County, ME sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Oxford County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 81% of households in Oxford County own their home, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Androscoggin County, ME R+12
- Franklin County, ME R+18
- Cumberland County, ME D+29
- Coos County, NH R+24
- Carroll County, NH R+2
- Sagadahoc County, ME D+8
- Kennebec County, ME R+7
- Lincoln County, ME Even
- Somerset County, ME R+29
- York County, ME R+2
Counties with Similar Populations
- Windsor County, VT D+17
- Jefferson County, WV R+22
- Maverick County, TX R+8
- Box Elder County, UT R+56
- Coffee County, TN R+55
- Anderson County, TX R+41
- Acadia Parish, LA R+54
- Gordon County, GA R+60
- Putnam County, WV R+46
- Vermilion Parish, LA R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.