Lincoln, OR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lincoln

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lincoln is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 

About 63% of adults in Lincoln typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln, ~32% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lincoln compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lincoln sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 5 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 2 leaning the other way.

Lincoln runs about 12 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole.

Why Lincoln leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lincoln. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Lincoln, OR does.

Why turnout in Lincoln looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lincoln is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Lincoln own their home, compared to around 76% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Lincoln have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.