Ashland leans heavily Democratic by roughly 50 points: about 75% of voters vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Ashland typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ashland, ~60% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ashland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ashland is the most Democratic-leaning.
Ashland runs about 36 points more Democratic than Oregon as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ashland. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+63) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 74 points.
Why Ashland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ashland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 61% of adults in Ashland hold a bachelor's degree, about 33 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Ashland sits in the top fifth on density (about 65%, above 91% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Ashland have never been married, above 79% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Ashland, OR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Ashland looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Ashland have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Talent, OR D+28
- Phoenix, OR Even
- Medford, OR Even
- Table Rock, OR R+11
- Lincoln, OR D+2
- Lakecreek, OR R+17
- Jacksonville, OR R+6
- Mountain View, OR R+4
- Central Point, OR R+21
- Ruch, OR R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Trussville, AL R+40
- Canon City, CO R+22
- Raymore, MO R+17
- La Grange, KY R+27
- Coral Terrace, FL R+34
- Jackson, MO R+51
- Londonderry, NH D+4
- Coos Bay, OR R+6
- Norton Shores, MI R+2
- Wildwood, MO R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.