Lakecreek leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Lakecreek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lakecreek, ~29% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lakecreek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lakecreek leans more Republican than 8 of 18 neighbors.
Lakecreek runs about 31 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Lakecreek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lakecreek. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+2) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+40), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Lakecreek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lakecreek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Lakecreek live in densely developed areas, about 28 points below the Oregon average of 31%. Lakecreek runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lakecreek, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lakecreek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lakecreek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Lakecreek have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Butte Falls, OR R+40
- Eagle Point, OR R+30
- White City, OR R+23
- Phoenix, OR Even
- Talent, OR D+28
- Medford, OR Even
- Ashland, OR D+50
- Central Point, OR R+21
- Shady Cove, OR R+27
- Mountain View, OR R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. James, IN R+65
- Purman, MO R+71
- Ingleside, MD R+49
- Rocky, OK R+79
- Mc Gee, MO R+70
- Hopkinton, NY R+36
- Stanley, ID D+3
- Sattre, IA R+28
- Flowell, UT R+74
- Lorenzo, ID R+69
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.