Lincoln is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 71% of adults in Lincoln typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln, ~37% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lincoln leans more Democratic than 65 of 126 neighbors.
Lincoln runs about 9 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole.
Why Lincoln leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lincoln. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lincoln, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lincoln looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lincoln is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Valley Falls, RI Even
- Central Falls, RI D+23
- Stillwater, RI Even
- Pawtucket, RI D+26
- Cumberland, RI D+7
- North Providence, RI D+14
- Smithfield, RI Even
- Manville, RI D+6
- Cumberland Hill, RI Even
- Providence, RI D+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bon Air, VA D+17
- Roscoe, IL R+17
- Ludlow, MA R+10
- Sayreville, NJ D+3
- Sikeston, MO R+21
- La Crescenta-Montrose, CA D+16
- Maryland City, MD D+55
- Milford, DE R+5
- Lebanon, IN R+35
- Monticello, MN R+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.