Bon Air leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Bon Air typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bon Air, ~52% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bon Air compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Bon Air leans more Democratic than 68 of 86 neighbors.
Bon Air runs about 11 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Bon Air. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Bon Air leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bon Air, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 87% of residents in Bon Air live in densely developed areas, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Bon Air sits in the top quarter (about 55%, above 95% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Bon Air, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Bon Air looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Bon Air is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Manchester, VA D+29
- Rockwood, VA D+10
- Richmond, VA D+19
- Midlothian, VA Even
- Tuckahoe, VA D+13
- Brandermill, VA D+4
- Lakeside, VA D+32
- Henrico, VA D+48
- Meadowbrook, VA D+45
- Woodlake, VA D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Roscoe, IL R+17
- Lincoln, RI D+5
- Sikeston, MO R+21
- Ludlow, MA R+10
- Sayreville, NJ D+3
- La Crescenta-Montrose, CA D+16
- Milford, DE R+5
- Maryland City, MD D+55
- Lebanon, IN R+35
- Monticello, MN R+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.