Litte Italy leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Litte Italy typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Litte Italy, ~29% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Litte Italy compares
Litte Italy runs about 13 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Litte Italy. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+43) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Litte Italy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Litte Italy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 51% of adults in Litte Italy have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 44%).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Litte Italy, Niagara Falls, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Litte Italy looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 29% of adults in Litte Italy report food insecurity, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 85% of adults in Litte Italy have completed high school, below 76% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Riverside Park, Buffalo, NY D+21
- Military, Buffalo, NY D+33
- Lincoln Park-Buffalo, Tonawanda, NY D+16
- Black Rock, Buffalo, NY D+29
- North Park, Buffalo, NY D+48
- Park Meadow, Buffalo, NY D+57
- Forest, Buffalo, NY D+54
- Albright, Buffalo, NY D+59
- Starin Central, Buffalo, NY D+58
- Grant Ferry, Buffalo, NY D+54
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- New North End, Burlington, VT D+47
- Townsite, Oceanside, CA D+31
- Seventh Ward, New Orleans, LA D+78
- Belltown, Seattle, WA D+62
- Falls of Neuse, Raleigh, NC D+31
- Downtown, Las Vegas, NV D+39
- Heritage District, Sunnyvale, CA D+43
- Brays Oaks, Houston, TX D+42
- LaGrange, Toledo, OH D+65
- South East Torrance, Torrance, CA D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.