Live Oak leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Live Oak typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Live Oak, ~18% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Live Oak compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Live Oak leans more Republican than 5 of 25 neighbors.
Live Oak runs about 34 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Live Oak. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 49 points.
Why Live Oak leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Live Oak, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Live Oak votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 25%, far below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Live Oak, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Live Oak looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Live Oak is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Newburn, FL R+71
- Rixford, FL R+64
- Falmouth, FL R+71
- Fort Union, FL R+70
- Houston, FL R+56
- Mc Alpin, FL R+65
- Lancaster, FL R+67
- Suwannee Springs, FL R+62
- Ellaville, FL R+64
- Luraville, FL R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Altoona, IA R+5
- Hayden, ID R+49
- Aston, PA R+5
- Weaverville, NC R+2
- Lennox, CA D+37
- Mamaroneck, NY D+21
- Hanover, MD D+38
- Rotterdam, NY R+2
- Walker, LA R+72
- Jasmine Estates, FL R+21
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.