Jasmine Estates leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Jasmine Estates typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jasmine Estates, ~20% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jasmine Estates compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jasmine Estates leans more Republican than 18 of 43 neighbors.
Jasmine Estates runs about 8 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Jasmine Estates. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Jasmine Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jasmine Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Jasmine Estates votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 98%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Jasmine Estates sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 87% of cities).
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Jasmine Estates, FL does.
Why turnout in Jasmine Estates looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Jasmine Estates is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 9 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in Jasmine Estates rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Port Richey, FL R+27
- Bayonet Point, FL R+24
- New Port Richey East, FL R+27
- New Port Richey, FL R+27
- Moon Lake, FL R+46
- Elfers, FL R+26
- Hudson, FL R+37
- Holiday, FL R+21
- Odessa, FL R+23
- Tarpon Springs, FL R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rotterdam, NY R+2
- Hanover, MD D+38
- Frankfort, IN R+39
- McAlester, OK R+44
- Weaverville, NC R+2
- Altoona, IA R+5
- Elkridge, MD D+45
- Toccoa, GA R+51
- Live Oak, FL R+47
- Hayden, ID R+49
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.