Lloyd Harbor leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Lloyd Harbor typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lloyd Harbor, ~42% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lloyd Harbor compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lloyd Harbor leans more Republican than 121 of 237 neighbors.
Lloyd Harbor runs about 18 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Lloyd Harbor is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lloyd Harbor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lloyd Harbor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lloyd Harbor votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 41%, above 84% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 87% of households in Lloyd Harbor are family households, above 98% of cities. Lloyd Harbor runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lloyd Harbor, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lloyd Harbor looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lloyd Harbor is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Lloyd Harbor own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Huntington Bay, NY R+2
- Cove Neck, NY R+13
- Cold Spring Harbor, NY R+7
- Centre Island, NY R+16
- Laurel Hollow, NY R+15
- Huntington, NY D+8
- Oyster Bay Cove, NY R+19
- Centerport, NY D+4
- Asharoken, NY R+12
- Oyster Bay, NY R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oakland City, IN R+46
- Trempealeau, WI R+24
- Triadelphia, WV R+46
- St. George, KS R+44
- Naples, ME R+3
- Clarkton, NC R+4
- Gunter, TX R+61
- Arcola, IL R+38
- Mount Pocono, PA D+12
- Sale Creek, TN R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.