Long Valley leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Long Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Long Valley, ~29% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Long Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Long Valley leans more Republican than 3 of 7 neighbors.
Long Valley runs about 7 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Long Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Long Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Long Valley live in densely developed areas, about 37 points below the Arizona average of 39%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Long Valley, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Long Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Long Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Long Valley own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Long Valley have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Winona, AZ R+5
- Doney Park, AZ R+20
- Flagstaff, AZ D+31
- Bellemont, AZ R+14
- Parks, AZ R+44
- Mountainaire, AZ R+12
- Gray Mountain, AZ D+36
- Munds Park, AZ R+25
- Williams, AZ R+35
- Valle, AZ R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Muddy Gap, WY R+80
- Dunton, CO R+41
- Monroe Manor, IN R+11
- Woodson, OR R+33
- East Union, OH R+64
- Maxville, IN R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.