Longboat Key leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Longboat Key typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Longboat Key, ~38% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Longboat Key compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Longboat Key leans more Republican than 3 of 29 neighbors.
Longboat Key runs about 6 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Why Longboat Key leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Longboat Key, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Longboat Key votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 27%, well below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Longboat Key, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Longboat Key looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Longboat Key is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Longboat Key own their home, compared to around 75% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Longboat Key have completed high school, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bayshore Gardens, FL R+8
- South Bradenton, FL R+8
- North Sarasota, FL D+10
- Bradenton Beach, FL R+19
- West Bradenton, FL R+23
- Siesta Key, FL R+15
- South Sarasota, FL R+11
- Southgate, FL R+6
- Bradenton, FL R+14
- Sarasota, FL R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mannford, OK R+64
- Willow Park, TX R+53
- St. Rose, LA D+21
- Indian Head, MD D+26
- Bellaire, OH R+39
- Andrews, SC D+4
- Lucas, TX R+34
- South Hamilton, MA D+26
- Wilmore, KY R+36
- Ocklawaha, FL R+54
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.