South Bradenton leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 50% of adults in South Bradenton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Bradenton, ~23% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Bradenton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Bradenton leans more Republican than 8 of 39 neighbors.
South Bradenton runs about 5 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within South Bradenton. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+20) and the south side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 19 points.
Why South Bradenton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Bradenton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South Bradenton votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as South Bradenton, FL does.
Why turnout in South Bradenton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. South Bradenton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 5 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 43% of households in South Bradenton rent, compared to around 20% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bayshore Gardens, FL R+8
- West Bradenton, FL R+23
- Bradenton, FL R+14
- Memphis, FL D+14
- Longboat Key, FL R+7
- Palmetto, FL R+18
- Ellenton, FL R+19
- Bradenton Beach, FL R+19
- Terra Ceia, FL R+29
- North Sarasota, FL D+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Smithtown, NY R+27
- Marshall, TX R+7
- Mint Hill, NC R+4
- Zionsville, IN D+4
- Woodway, TX R+30
- Forest Grove, OR D+10
- Hackettstown, NJ R+9
- Hixson, TN R+31
- Deer Park, NY R+5
- West Springfield Town, MA D+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.