Lubbock, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lubbock

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lubbock leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.

 

About 55% of adults in Lubbock typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lubbock, ~22% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lubbock compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lubbock is the least Republican-leaning.

Lubbock runs about 5 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lubbock. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 58 points.

Why Lubbock leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lubbock, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Lubbock votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 85%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lubbock, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Lubbock looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lubbock is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in Lubbock rent, compared to around 18% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.