Lukeville is a Democratic stronghold. About 88% of voters here vote Democratic and 12% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Lukeville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lukeville, ~38% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lukeville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lukeville is the least Democratic-leaning.
Lukeville runs about 81 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Lukeville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lukeville. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+84) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+6), a spread of about 78 points.
Why Lukeville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lukeville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lukeville votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Lukeville runs about 81 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 60% of adults in Lukeville have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lukeville, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lukeville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lukeville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 18 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in Lukeville report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Lukeville sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pisinemo, AZ D+84
- Why, AZ D+78
- Wahak Hotrontk, AZ D+84
- Gu Oidak, AZ D+79
- Cowlic, AZ D+79
- Ajo, AZ D+6
- Sells, AZ D+79
- Ko Vaya, AZ D+83
- Vamori, AZ D+79
Cities with Similar Populations
- Keller, VA D+4
- Simmonsville, SC R+20
- Glen Jean, WV R+35
- Beaver Creek, IL R+61
- Marlboro, SC R+15
- Orchard, ID R+54
- Fort Kipp, MT R+26
- Rosamond, IL R+60
- Lock Springs, MO R+69
- Bartley, WV R+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.