Lunenburg is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Lunenburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lunenburg, ~46% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lunenburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lunenburg leans more Democratic than 54 of 125 neighbors.
Lunenburg runs about 21 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lunenburg. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Lunenburg leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lunenburg. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lunenburg, MA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lunenburg looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lunenburg is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fitchburg, MA D+15
- Leominster, MA D+9
- Shirley Center, MA D+9
- Shirley, MA D+12
- Townsend Harbor, MA D+7
- Townsend, MA R+10
- West Townsend, MA R+10
- Devens, MA D+7
- Ponakin Mill, MA D+16
- Ashby, MA D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- McLeansville, NC D+9
- Dunlap, IL R+7
- Wyomissing, PA D+10
- Pleasant View, UT R+41
- Beverly, NJ D+33
- Gateway, FL R+21
- Gifford, FL D+22
- Fort Oglethorpe, GA R+45
- Catoosa, OK R+40
- Scappoose, OR R+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.