Lycoming County leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Lycoming County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lycoming County, ~24% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lycoming County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lycoming County leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
Lycoming County runs about 32 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lycoming County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Lycoming County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lycoming County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lycoming County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 54%, well above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lycoming County, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lycoming County looks the way it does
Turnout in Lycoming County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Union County, PA R+26
- Montour County, PA R+23
- Clinton County, PA R+46
- Sullivan County, PA R+50
- Northumberland County, PA R+39
- Snyder County, PA R+50
- Columbia County, PA R+32
- Tioga County, PA R+50
- Bradford County, PA R+49
- Juniata County, PA R+62
Counties with Similar Populations
- St. Mary's County, MD R+12
- Flagler County, FL R+29
- Newton County, GA D+16
- Ontario County, NY R+2
- LaPorte County, IN R+11
- Albemarle County, VA D+24
- Henderson County, NC R+16
- Calhoun County, AL R+35
- Delaware County, IN R+11
- Robeson County, NC R+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.