Flagler County leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Flagler County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Flagler County, ~29% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Flagler County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Flagler County leans more Republican than 2 of 3 neighbors.
Flagler County runs about 16 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Flagler County. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Flagler County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Flagler County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Flagler County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 67%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 71% of households in Flagler County are family households, above 82% of counties.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Flagler County, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Flagler County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Flagler County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 83% of households in Flagler County own their home, above 92% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Putnam County, FL R+42
- Volusia County, FL R+17
- St. Johns County, FL R+26
- Clay County, FL R+31
- Seminole County, FL R+5
- Duval County, FL D+7
- Marion County, FL R+28
- Bradford County, FL R+50
- Lake County, FL R+25
- Sumter County, FL R+31
Counties with Similar Populations
- Henderson County, NC R+16
- Calhoun County, AL R+35
- Robeson County, NC R+13
- Lycoming County, PA R+34
- Jefferson County, NY R+19
- Wayne County, OH R+42
- St. Mary's County, MD R+12
- Wayne County, NC R+7
- Oswego County, NY R+23
- Missoula County, MT D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.