Lynn Haven leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Lynn Haven typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lynn Haven, ~26% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lynn Haven compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lynn Haven leans more Republican than 6 of 23 neighbors.
Lynn Haven runs about 23 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lynn Haven. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Lynn Haven leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lynn Haven, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lynn Haven votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 69%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lynn Haven, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lynn Haven looks the way it does
Turnout in Lynn Haven sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Panama City, FL R+31
- Pretty Bayou, FL R+32
- Southport, FL R+65
- Springfield, FL R+18
- Parker, FL R+27
- Callaway, FL R+26
- Upper Grand Lagoon, FL R+40
- West Bay, FL R+41
- Lower Grand Lagoon, FL R+37
- Youngstown, FL R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hillside, NJ D+51
- Hudson, NH R+2
- Brambleton, VA D+22
- Matawan, NJ R+9
- Newton, MA D+58
- Versailles, KY R+29
- Kennett Square, PA D+18
- Mckees Rocks, PA D+15
- Brent, FL D+20
- Westford, MA D+25
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.