Callaway leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Callaway typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Callaway, ~23% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Callaway compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Callaway leans more Republican than 1 of 21 neighbors.
Callaway runs about 13 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Callaway. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Callaway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Callaway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Callaway votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 68%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Callaway, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Callaway looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Callaway is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Parker, FL R+27
- Springfield, FL R+18
- Tyndall AFB, FL R+31
- Panama City, FL R+31
- Lynn Haven, FL R+36
- Pretty Bayou, FL R+32
- Upper Grand Lagoon, FL R+40
- Lower Grand Lagoon, FL R+37
- Southport, FL R+65
- Youngstown, FL R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jefferson City, TN R+51
- Farmville, VA D+14
- La Vernia, TX R+60
- Shingle Springs, CA R+24
- Highland, NY D+8
- Washington, NJ R+14
- Marshfield, MO R+59
- Harrison, TN R+43
- Melvindale, MI Even
- Hasbrouck Heights, NJ R+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.