Lower Grand Lagoon, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lower Grand Lagoon

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lower Grand Lagoon leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.

 

About 73% of adults in Lower Grand Lagoon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lower Grand Lagoon, ~23% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lower Grand Lagoon compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lower Grand Lagoon leans more Republican than 8 of 19 neighbors.

Lower Grand Lagoon runs about 24 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lower Grand Lagoon. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 21 points.

Why Lower Grand Lagoon leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lower Grand Lagoon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Lower Grand Lagoon votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, well below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lower Grand Lagoon, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Lower Grand Lagoon looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lower Grand Lagoon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, about 6 points above the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.