Macalester-Groveland is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Macalester-Groveland typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Macalester-Groveland, ~75% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Macalester-Groveland compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Macalester-Groveland leans more Democratic than 22 of 37 neighbors.
Macalester-Groveland runs about 63 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Macalester-Groveland. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+78) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+60), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Macalester-Groveland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Macalester-Groveland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 78% of adults in Macalester-Groveland hold a bachelor's degree, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Macalester-Groveland, St. Paul, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Macalester-Groveland looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Macalester-Groveland is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Macalester-Groveland have completed high school, above 85% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Greektown, Chicago, IL D+59
- Eads-Fisherville, Cordova, TN D+31
- Northeast Tacoma, Tacoma, WA D+23
- Five Points, Toledo, OH D+28
- East Garfield Park, Chicago, IL D+79
- Beverly, Chicago, IL D+50
- Central Boulder, Boulder, CO D+71
- South Boston, Boston, MA D+48
- Chinquapin Park-Belvedere, Baltimore, MD D+73
- Bario Logan, San Diego, CA D+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.