Midway is a Democratic stronghold. About 83% of voters here vote Democratic and 17% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Midway typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midway, ~61% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midway compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midway leans more Democratic than 18 of 33 neighbors.
Midway runs about 63 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midway. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+77) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+62), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Midway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 57% of adults in Midway hold a bachelor's degree, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Midway have never been married, above 79% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Midway, St. Paul, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Midway looks the way it does
Turnout in Midway sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Merrlam Park, St. Paul, MN D+65
- Como, St. Paul, MN D+61
- Saint Anthony, St. Paul, MN D+73
- Summit-University, St. Paul, MN D+72
- Macalester-Groveland, St. Paul, MN D+68
- Thomas-Dale, St. Paul, MN D+53
- Summit Hill, St. Paul, MN D+71
- Cooper, Minneapolis, MN D+76
- North End, St. Paul, MN D+45
- Prospect Park, Minneapolis, MN D+70
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Pershing, Detroit, MI D+86
- Squirrel Hill North, Pittsburgh, PA D+69
- Mandarin Station-Losco, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Florida Center North, Orlando, FL D+24
- Eagle River Valley, Eagle River, AK D+15
- Groveton, Alexandria, VA D+49
- North Ridge Rosemont, Alexandria, VA D+56
- Mar Lee, Denver, CO D+38
- Davis Lake-Eastfield, Charlotte, NC D+50
- Walker Mill, District Heights, MD D+86
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.