Machias leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Machias typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Machias, ~17% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Machias compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Machias leans more Republican than 45 of 102 neighbors.
Machias runs about 55 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Machias is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Machias. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+46) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Machias leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Machias, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Machias votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Machias runs about 55 points more Republican. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Machias fits that profile on both counts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Machias, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Machias looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in Machias have more than one occupant per room, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lime Lake, NY R+47
- McKinstry Hollow, NY R+43
- The Narrows, NY R+45
- Elton, NY R+56
- DeLevan, NY R+41
- Franklinville, NY R+40
- West Valley, NY R+43
- Farmersville Station, NY R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dushore, PA R+47
- DeMossville, KY R+61
- Newfane, VT D+27
- Gethsemane, AR R+16
- Rockwell, IA R+35
- Red Level, AL R+78
- Pine Hill, TN R+74
- Carlton, GA R+55
- Holton, IN R+66
- Landen, OH R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.