Madison Lake leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Madison Lake typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Madison Lake, ~20% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Madison Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Madison Lake leans more Republican than 11 of 41 neighbors.
Madison Lake runs about 33 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Madison Lake is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Madison Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Madison Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Madison Lake votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Madison Lake runs about 33 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Madison Lake, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Madison Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Madison Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Marysburg, MN R+30
- Eagle Lake, MN R+19
- Smiths Mill, MN R+35
- Elysian, MN R+34
- Cleveland, MN R+36
- Kasota, MN R+26
- Janesville, MN R+35
- St. Clair, MN R+32
- Mankato, MN D+4
- North Mankato, MN R+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hancock, NY R+33
- Strong, ME R+20
- Glencoe, OK R+58
- Shullsburg, WI R+33
- Watts, OK R+64
- Pamplin, VA R+24
- Port Austin, MI R+31
- Buena, NJ R+18
- Caseville, MI R+33
- Ivor, VA R+33
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.