Smiths Mill leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Smiths Mill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smiths Mill, ~20% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smiths Mill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smiths Mill leans more Republican than 19 of 41 neighbors.
Smiths Mill runs about 39 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Smiths Mill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Smiths Mill. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Smiths Mill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smiths Mill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Smiths Mill votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Smiths Mill runs about 39 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Smiths Mill, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Smiths Mill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Smiths Mill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Janesville, MN R+35
- Madison Lake, MN R+28
- St. Clair, MN R+32
- Eagle Lake, MN R+19
- Elysian, MN R+34
- Marysburg, MN R+30
- Pemberton, MN R+48
- Mankato, MN D+4
- Waterville, MN R+33
- Cleveland, MN R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Munterville, IA R+53
- Muldoon, TX R+68
- Pinola, PA R+51
- Neelyton, PA R+70
- Gluckheim, MD R+43
- Durham, KS R+66
- Providence, AR R+75
- Cave, MO R+64
- Richlawn, KY D+23
- Andersons Crossroads, NC D+28
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.