Montford leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Montford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Montford, ~28% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Montford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Montford leans more Republican than 16 of 82 neighbors.
Montford runs about 27 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Montford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Montford. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Montford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Montford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Montford votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Montford runs about 27 points more Republican.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Montford, VA sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Montford looks the way it does
Turnout in Montford sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Woodberry Forest, VA R+31
- Montpelier Station, VA R+23
- Orange, VA R+30
- Radiant, VA R+33
- Madison Run, VA R+21
- Somerset, VA R+32
- Aroda, VA R+31
- Uno, VA R+38
- Lahore, VA R+47
- Oakpark, VA R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Oaks, TX R+67
- Garland, AL R+48
- Oak, NE R+63
- Cudjoe Key, FL R+33
- Mills, NE R+82
- Millsfield, TN R+73
- Robinson, ND R+57
- Sunderlinville, PA R+62
- Stoner, CO R+22
- Fountain Gap, IL R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.