Manchester Center leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 79% of adults in Manchester Center typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manchester Center, ~50% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manchester Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manchester Center leans more Democratic than 71 of 85 neighbors.
Manchester Center runs about 6 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Manchester Center. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+19), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Manchester Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manchester Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 45% of adults in Manchester Center hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Manchester Center have never been married, above 86% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Manchester Center, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Manchester Center looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Manchester Center is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Manchester Center have completed high school, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Manchester, VT D+42
- East Dorset, VT D+24
- Freedleyville, VT D+24
- Dorset, VT D+22
- Sunderland, VT D+12
- Bondville, VT D+32
- Peru, VT D+35
- Sandgate, VT D+19
- North Dorset, VT D+32
- East Arlington, VT D+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Biggs, CA R+49
- Rock Tavern, NY R+20
- Bloomfield, MO R+61
- Crab Orchard, WV R+63
- Cold Spring Harbor, NY R+7
- Lordstown, OH R+38
- Great Meadows, NJ R+28
- Mohrsville, PA R+43
- Greentown, PA R+30
- Greenleaf, WI R+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.