Manchester is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Manchester typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manchester, ~7% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manchester compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manchester leans more Republican than 27 of 46 neighbors.
Manchester runs about 63 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Manchester leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manchester, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Manchester, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Manchester, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Manchester looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Manchester is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kanawha, TX R+79
- Bagwell, TX R+79
- Dimple, TX R+70
- Frogville, OK R+77
- Detroit, TX R+77
- Vandalia, TX R+46
- Valliant, OK R+69
- Millerton, OK R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tendoy, ID R+69
- Kirby, WY R+73
- Kummer, WA D+8
- Junedale, PA R+53
- Wanamie, PA R+30
- Wesley, TX R+68
- Leasuresville, PA R+48
- Walnut Valley, NJ R+32
- Jacksonville, IA R+50
- Bustleton, NJ R+22
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.