March ARB is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 44% of adults in March ARB typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in March ARB, ~22% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How March ARB compares
Among cities within 25 miles, March ARB sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 53 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 18 leaning the other way.
March ARB runs about 19 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why March ARB leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in March ARB. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; March ARB, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in March ARB looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. March ARB is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 14 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 96% of households in March ARB rent, compared to around 25% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in March ARB report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moreno Valley, CA D+18
- Mead Valley, CA Even
- Woodcrest, CA R+17
- Perris, CA D+14
- Lake Mathews, CA R+30
- Good Hope, CA D+4
- Riverside, CA Even
- Nuevo, CA R+22
- Moreno, CA R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lyman, WA R+30
- Hollister, FL R+71
- Roggen, CO R+68
- Eckford, MI R+50
- Glenwood, IN R+67
- Marietta, NC R+26
- Union Grove, TN R+67
- Ponemah, MN D+71
- Brush Creek, TN R+67
- Flingsville, KY R+60
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.