Moreno leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 16% of adults in Moreno typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moreno, ~5% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~84% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moreno compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moreno leans more Republican than 69 of 71 neighbors.
Moreno runs about 54 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Moreno is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Moreno leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moreno, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Moreno votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Moreno runs about 54 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in Moreno are family households, above 96% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Moreno, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Moreno looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 6% of homes in Moreno have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Moreno have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Calimesa, CA R+29
- Yucaipa, CA R+29
- Moreno Valley, CA D+18
- Beaumont, CA R+13
- Redlands, CA D+3
- Mentone, CA R+18
- Cherry Valley, CA R+27
- March ARB, CA Even
- Loma Linda, CA D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alamo, ND R+77
- Mitchell, IA R+42
- Cloudland, GA R+71
- Leatherwood, PA R+70
- Choulic, AZ D+79
- Livingstonville, NY R+41
- Loman, MN R+40
- Hervey, AR R+63
- Stewart Run, PA R+50
- Wabash, OH R+76
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.