Nuevo leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Nuevo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nuevo, ~17% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nuevo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nuevo leans more Republican than 38 of 52 neighbors.
Nuevo runs about 42 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Nuevo is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Nuevo. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Nuevo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nuevo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Nuevo votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Nuevo runs about 42 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Nuevo runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in Nuevo are family households, above 97% of cities.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Nuevo, CA does.
Why turnout in Nuevo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Nuevo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Nuevo report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Juniper Springs, CA R+34
- Sun City, CA R+15
- Homeland, CA R+18
- Perris, CA D+14
- Good Hope, CA D+4
- Menifee, CA R+14
- Hemet, CA R+5
- San Jacinto, CA R+3
- Mead Valley, CA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Peru, IL R+10
- Beverly Hills, MI D+25
- Jacinto City, TX D+8
- Bloomingdale, TN R+57
- Colts Neck, NJ R+32
- Berkeley Springs, WV R+55
- Carthage, NC R+38
- Creswell, OR R+8
- Grinnell, IA Even
- Elizabeth, PA R+27
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.