Marfa is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Marfa typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marfa, ~29% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marfa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Marfa sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 3 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 0 leaning the other way.
Marfa runs about 14 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Marfa sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Marfa. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 53 points.
Why Marfa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Marfa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Marfa votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Marfa runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Marfa, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Marfa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Marfa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 6 points above the Texas average of 19%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Marfa sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ruidosa, TX R+4
- Fort Davis, TX R+51
- Alpine, TX R+7
- Valentine, TX R+35
- Casa Piedra, TX R+9
- Shafter, TX Even
- Balmorhea, TX R+50
- Marathon, TX R+39
- Saragosa, TX R+48
- Lobo, TX R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clarendon, TX R+58
- Amado, AZ R+4
- Yachats, OR D+47
- Redington Shores, FL R+21
- Selmont-West Selmont, AL D+78
- South Wales, NY R+31
- Doerun, GA R+57
- Ovid, NY R+21
- Bovina, TX R+48
- Kasota, MN R+26
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.