Mattoon is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Mattoon typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mattoon, ~8% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mattoon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mattoon leans more Republican than 67 of 72 neighbors.
Mattoon runs about 41 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Mattoon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mattoon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Mattoon, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Kentucky average of 19%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Mattoon are family households, above 83% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Mattoon, KY sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Mattoon looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 78% of adults in Mattoon have completed high school, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Repton, KY R+73
- Blackford, KY R+70
- Tribune, KY R+72
- Crayne, KY R+67
- Marion, KY R+66
- Cave In Rock, IL R+58
- Sullivan, KY R+60
- Lamb, IL R+59
- Piney Fork, KY R+71
- Sturgis, KY R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zenas, IN R+65
- Poplar Grove, AR R+20
- Delmar, AL R+83
- Derby, IA R+52
- West Windsor, MI R+16
- Martinsville, MS D+7
- Melbeta, NE R+73
- Holbrook, NE R+75
- Sweden, MO R+72
- Kiana, AK D+25
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.