Poland Junction leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Poland Junction typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Poland Junction, ~23% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Poland Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Poland Junction leans more Republican than 12 of 22 neighbors.
Poland Junction runs about 40 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why Poland Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Poland Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Poland Junction live in densely developed areas, about 36 points below the Arizona average of 39%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Poland Junction sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 87% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Poland Junction, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Poland Junction looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Poland Junction own their home, about 23 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Poland Junction sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mayer, AZ R+43
- Spring Valley, AZ R+40
- Dewey-Humboldt, AZ R+47
- Humboldt, AZ R+48
- Horse Thief, AZ R+56
- Dewey, AZ R+33
- Cordes Junction, AZ R+48
- Cleator, AZ R+50
- Cordes Lakes, AZ R+43
- Prescott Valley, AZ R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alluwe, OK R+66
- Catherine, AL D+63
- Hico, TN R+63
- Hibbard, IN R+46
- West Prairie, WI R+25
- Newburg, IL R+51
- Hannibal, WI R+48
- North Holston, VA R+65
- Hardscrabble, DE R+34
- Minnie, WV R+65
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.