Mayer leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Mayer typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayer, ~29% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayer leans more Republican than 44 of 75 neighbors.
Mayer runs about 40 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Mayer is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mayer. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+32), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Mayer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mayer votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 45%, well above the Minnesota average of 23%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Mayer are family households, above 85% of cities. Mayer runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mayer, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Mayer looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mayer is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Mayer own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Mayer have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Germany, MN R+50
- Watertown, MN R+30
- Young America, MN R+43
- Waconia, MN R+14
- St. Bonifacius, MN R+11
- Lester Prairie, MN R+48
- Norwood, MN R+36
- Norwood Young America, MN R+33
- Cologne, MN R+33
- Winsted, MN R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Byfield, MA D+16
- Niagara, WI R+45
- Kingsville, MO R+58
- West Blocton, AL R+72
- Colliers, WV R+48
- Shelburne Falls, MA D+31
- Kings Beach, CA D+10
- Castalia, OH R+40
- Sagamore Beach, MA D+9
- Providence, KY R+50
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.