Mayflower is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Mayflower typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayflower, ~11% vote Democratic, ~69% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayflower compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayflower leans more Republican than 16 of 34 neighbors.
Mayflower runs about 59 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mayflower. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+85) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 63 points.
Why Mayflower leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayflower, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Mayflower hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Mayflower, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mayflower looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mayflower is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wiergate, TX R+48
- Burkeville, TX R+86
- Fairmount, TX R+74
- Mattox, TX R+7
- Shanklerville, TX R+37
- Yellowpine, TX R+55
- Evans, LA R+87
- Harrisburg, TX R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Toivola, MN R+27
- Richland, TN R+74
- Riggston, IL R+62
- Carmack, MO R+70
- Obernburg, NY R+15
- Easterday, KY R+59
- Parr, SC R+31
- Lutheranville, NY R+36
- Liberty, AR R+59
- Tegarden, OK R+76
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.