McGrath leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 57% of adults in McGrath typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in McGrath, ~33% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How McGrath compares
McGrath runs about 28 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while McGrath is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why McGrath leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for McGrath, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 45% of adults in McGrath have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 23%). McGrath runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; McGrath, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in McGrath looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. McGrath is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 38%, about 12 points below the Alaska average of 50%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 35% of adults in McGrath report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Medfra, AK D+15
- Stony River, AK D+28
- Sleetmute, AK D+29
- Lake Minchumina, AK D+15
- Ruby, AK D+33
- Shageluk, AK D+15
- Galena, AK D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sterling Center, MN R+42
- Viola, IA R+31
- Glen Summit, PA R+27
- Waverley, ME R+32
- Grass Valley, OR R+63
- Uno, KY R+58
- Fryburg, ND R+69
- Lone Pine, LA R+70
- Lincolnville, PA R+59
- Sandy Ridge, TN R+68
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.